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The new member: Rep.-elect John McGuire (R-Va.)

How they got here: McGuire easily dispatched Democrat Gloria Witt 58 percent to 42 percent after narrowly beating incumbent Rep. Bob Good (R) in the GOP primary. A write-in campaign by Good allies didn’t end up manifesting in the general election.

Inside the campaign: McGuire, a state senator, got a big boost in his primary challenge against the sitting Freedom Caucus chair: the endorsement of President-elect Donald Trump, a huge boost in this red-leaning district. He used the slogan of “Pro-Life. Pro-Gun. Pro-Trump” throughout his successful campaign.

“It really is amazing what you can do when you put your differences aside, treat each other with respect, and work as a team,” he said at his election night party.

Good’s record of making enemies throughout the Republican conference proved to be a drag on his candidacy during the primary, as he’s proven to be a regular thorn in the side of GOP leaders throughout his tenure in Congress. He became the first sitting chair of the House Freedom Caucus to lose renomination to their seat.

The issues he’ll focus on: The cost of living and economic prosperity were key issues throughout the campaign.

Background: McGuire served for years as a United States Navy SEAL. He served as a member of the Virginia House of Delegates from 2018 until 2024, when he became a state senator.

Shortly after that, he announced his bid for Congress.

Campaign ad that caught our eye: This ad of former Bob Good voters saying they wouldn’t vote for him again.“I wouldn’t ever vote for him if he was the last man on Earth,” one woman said.

Of note: McGuire revealed that he attended Trump’s Jan. 6 rally, but maintains he did not enter the Capitol grounds along with other protestors seeking to overturn Joe Biden’s presidential election victory.

We’re spotlighting new members during the transition. Want more? Meet Rep.-elect Kelly Morrison.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said her government would retaliate if President-elect Donald Trump moves forward with his threat to impose a 25 percent tariff on the country, warning of severe economic consequences for companies operating in both countries.

Sheinbaum unveiled the letter during her daily press conference in Mexico City, which responded to Trump’s plan to slap 25 percent tariffs on all goods from Mexico and Canada in an effort to crack down on the flow of migrants and illegal drugs into the United States. Trump also pledged an additional 10 percent tariff on China.

“For every tariff, there will be a response in kind,” Sheinbaum wrote in a letter sent to Trump. The text was released by the Mexican Embassy Tuesday morning, which said the economic fallout of a trade war would harm shared enterprises, particularly automotive companies that operate in both countries.

“Among Mexico’s main exporters to the United States are General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford Motor Company, which arrived in Mexico 80 years ago. Why impose a tariff that would jeopardize them? Such a measure would be unacceptable and would lead to inflation and job losses in both the United States and Mexico,” she added, according to a translated version of the letter provided by the Mexican Embassy.

The Mexican automotive industry is particularly exposed to a heightened trade conflict with Washington. Trump has repeatedly complained about auto imports from Mexico, accusing the country of being a back door for China, and floated 200 percent tariffs or higher on vehicles from south of the border.

Sheinbaum said she hopes her team can meet with members of the Trump administration to “continue building joint solutions.”

“President Trump, migration and drug consumption in the United States cannot be addressed through threats or tariffs. What is needed is cooperation and mutual understanding to tackle these significant challenges,” she wrote.

Sheinbaum also pushed back on the U.S.’ supposed trafficking of illegal firearms into Mexico, in another signal that cooperation between the North American neighbors might turn cool over the next four years. That would be a departure from former Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s at times warm relationship with Trump during his first administration.

“Seventy percent of the illegal weapons seized from criminals in Mexico come from your country. We do not produce these weapons, nor do we consume synthetic drugs. Tragically, it is in our country that lives are lost to the violence resulting from meeting the drug demand in yours,” Sheinbaum wrote.

She added that the Mexican Congress is in the process of approving a constitutional reform that would heighten the penalties around the production, distribution, and commercialization of fentanyl. But acknowledged that the flow of chemical precursors used to produce synthetic drugs “underscores the urgent need for international collaboration.”

Vivek Ramaswamy took to X Tuesday to criticize the Biden administration’s push to get $50 billion in chipmaking subsidies signed and awarded before President-elect Donald Trump takes power in January.

“This is highly inappropriate: they’re accelerating spending ahead of the transition of power,” Ramaswamy said, linking to a POLITICO interview with Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo where she discussed her remaining work to implement the CHIPS and Science Act.

“I’d like to have really almost all of the money obligated by the time we leave,” Raimondo told POLITICO last week. She said the forthcoming change in administration sets “a clear deadline” that “focuses the mind,” noting that her timeline was always the plan, and not driven by the threat of a clawback under the Trump administration.

The administration finalized more than $16 billion in final awards for five companies after the election: TSMC, GlobalFoundries, Rocket Lab, BAE Systems and Intel. The Biden administration had unveiled just one contract before that, $123 million for Minnesota chipmaker Polar Semiconductor.

Ramaswamy announced Monday night that he and Elon Musk’s new “Department of Government Efficiency” will review every last-minute contract rolled out under the CHIPS Act, and another Biden administration spending initiative, the Inflation Reduction Act. Ramaswamy said he will also recommend that inspectors general scrutinize the spending.

Trump has derided the CHIPS Act as “so bad,” arguing that tariffs would have been a better approach to incentivize domestic manufacturing. But he has yet to suggest any explicit changes to the law’s implementation.

Two Trump transition insiders, Cliff Sims and Kash Patel, are angling to be deputy director of the CIA — and angering others who feel they’re using their roles on the transition to undermine any would-be contenders, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The No. 2 position at the powerful spy agency is one of the most sought-after national security posts that remains unfilled. It does not require Senate confirmation — a concern for other roles, like FBI director, Patel is said to be interested in — but wields enormous influence inside the U.S. intelligence community.

The frustration toward Sims, the former White House and ODNI communications strategist, and Patel, the firebrand former House Intelligence Committee staffer and Pentagon official, stems from the fact that both are helping the transition interview candidates for the CIA role, said the three people, all of whom were granted anonymity to share details on the transition.

“The issue that a lot of us have is that these people are involved in staffing national security jobs, and at the same time they’re also promoting themselves for the same roles,” said one of the people.

There is also a concern that Patel in particular is fighting dirty. A second person said there was suspicion Patel was leaking damaging stories on Sims, including a recent story on a blow-up Trump had after being reminded Sims wrote a tell-all memoir in 2019 after leaving the White House.

The three people cautioned that both men appear open to other roles and may even prefer them. On Monday, Axios reported that Patel was likely slated for a senior role at the Justice Department, but no announcement has come since then.

Asked about the interview process for the deputy director role and the frustration some felt toward Sims and Patel, Trump-Vance transition spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said only that “remaining decisions will continue to be announced” when made.

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) on Tuesday downplayed President-elect Donald Trump’s threats of broad tariffs against major U.S. trading partners as a “negotiating tool” — though he acknowledged he was concerned about the “potential” for another trade war.

Trump threatened a wave of blanket tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China Monday evening via a social media post, unless the countries stop the flow of drugs and immigrants into the U.S.

“I think you got to see it as a negotiating tool,” Grassley told reporters Tuesday morning.

Farm state Republican lawmakers like Grassley have been wary of how Trump’s threat for broad tariffs on the campaign trail could roil the U.S. agriculture sector again, just as American farmers are still recovering from Trump’s 2018 trade war against China.

Beijing slapped crippling retaliatory tariffs on U.S. farm products, which devastated farmers and rural communities, where Trump has strong electoral support. His administration used $28 billion in federal funding from the Agriculture Department to support farmers affected by his trade war.

Canada, Mexico and China are the U.S.’s largest agricultural trading partners.

“I’m concerned about the potential of it,” Grassley told reporters Tuesday morning, when asked if he was worried about another trade war on the horizon.

“But right now, I see everything that Trump’s doing on tariffs as a negotiating tool,” he reiterated. “And we’ll have to wait and see how successful he is about that.”

Grassley, who historically has been skeptical of tariffs, added that “we got enough wrong coming from other countries, taking advantage of the United States” that tariffs, or “other tools as well” could help. Though, he did acknowledge that China never purchased even half of the $200 billion in farm products it agreed to under Trump’s Phase One trade deal during his first term.

The Iowa Republican also painted the current issue as more of a trade imbalance, than Trump seeking to spur Mexico, China and Canada’s efforts to stem the flow of illegal drugs and immigrants into the U.S.

“You expect the United States government to fight for the interests of the United States and to stop other countries from subsidizing their products coming into the United States,” Grassley said. “That’s a violation of the rules of trade, international rules of trade.”

The United States’ future in the World Health Organization is again in flux with President-elect Donald Trump returning to the White House.

If the U.S. withdraws from the global health body, as Trump attempted to do in his first term, the WHO could lose its top government donor and hundreds of millions of dollars in contributions.

In exchange, America could lose access to the global network that sets the flu vaccine’s composition every year, and U.S. drugmakers could lose the WHO’s help in selling their products, current and former U.S. government officials say.

How it would work: The president can end U.S. membership in the WHO, an arm of the United Nations, without Congress’ consent as long as he gives a one-year notice and continues paying dues in that year, according to a 1948 resolution.

Trump’s transition team declined to comment directly to an inquiry about his plans.

Why it matters: The U.S. provides about a quarter of the WHO’s core annual budget as a mandatory membership fee but often gives more — with the figure ranging from $163 million to $816 million in recent years, according to health policy think tank KFF.

The WHO could lose all that money at a time when it finds itself stretched by health emergencies around the world, from ongoing mpox and cholera outbreaks in Africa to the diseases spreading as a consequence of war in Gaza and Sudan, among other places.

In July 2020, Trump sent a letter to WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus notifying him of the U.S. intention to withdraw within a year. Trump accused the WHO at the time of helping China mislead the world about the spread of Covid-19.

But Trump was defeated in that year’s election, and when President Joe Biden took office in January 2021, he reversed Trump’s decision.

Should Trump decide to withdraw again, he has the time.

What’s next? Unlike in 2020, the WHO could offset some of the financial losses if Trump decides to withdraw.

In May, it launched an investment round seeking some $7 billion “to mobilize predictable and flexible resources from a broader base of donors” for the WHO’s core work between 2025 and 2028.

The WHO did not respond to a request for comment on a potential U.S. withdrawal and its implications.

OTTAWA — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says he spoke to Donald Trump Monday night after the president-elect shared plans to use his first day in office to slap 25 percent tariffs on Canada.

“It was a good call,” Trudeau said this morning on Parliament Hill. “We obviously talked about laying out the facts, talking about how the intense and effective connections between our two countries flow back and forth.”

Last night on Truth Social, Trump shared his first-day priorities.

“As everyone is aware, thousands of people are pouring through Mexico and Canada, bringing Crime and Drugs at levels never seen before,” Trump wrote.

“On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders.”

The move would hit more than $400 billion worth of annual Canadian exports to the United States.

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland and Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc released a statement Monday night to stress that border security is their top priority.

“Law enforcement agencies from our respective countries … work together every single day to disrupt the scourge of fentanyl coming from China and other countries,” said Freeland, who chairs a special Cabinet committee focused on bilateral relations in face of Trump 2.0.

Trudeau said he’d convene a meeting with his provincial counterparts this week to discuss the United States. “There’s work to do but we know how to do it.”

Donald Trump adopted Florida as his home state. Now his second administration will look to transform the country in its image.

His new administration is loaded with politicians and operatives who cut their teeth in the Sunshine State — from incoming White House chief of staff Susie Wiles; to Marco Rubio, the likely next secretary of State; and Pam Bondi, the former Florida attorney general Trump tapped to lead the Justice Department after the first Floridian he picked, Matt Gaetz, withdrew.

Trump filling his team with Floridians — with Mar-a-Lago serving as his home base — shows how his second term will be different than the first: one that values loyalty above all else, casting aside the need to win over different wings of a Republican Party. And it could be an even more pugnacious administration, filled with people who learned how to throw elbows in Florida first.

“Sure, they’re close to home, but Trump has known all of these people for years and they have gained his trust,” POLITICO reporter Meridith McGraw said. “For Trump, trust and loyalty are everything.”

It will all amount to a huge political — and culture — shock to Washington, when Trump and his team come crashing back into town in less than two months.

To get a sense of what’s next, POLITICO convened four reporters who have covered Trump’s political orbit, both in Florida and in Washington.

This transcript has been edited for length and clarity.

Trump has just absolutely loaded his administration up with Floridians. Is this about literal proximity to his base of operations or something more?

McGraw: First of all, let’s just go through the list of Floridians Trump has tapped so far for top roles in his next administration: Sen. Marco Rubio, Rep. Mike Waltz, Susie Wiles, and Pam Bondi. Am I missing anyone, Gary?

Sure, they’re close to home, but Trump has known all of these people for years and they have gained his trust. For Trump, trust and loyalty are everything. I was talking to a friend of Trump and Bondi’s last night, and they said the president-elect wants to be able to call up his Cabinet at any time for advice (much like he does with allies now) and so having a comfortable relationship is important.

Gary Fineout: There are others who have helped out Trump who also have a Florida connection such as James Blair, who was named deputy chief of staff. And Bondi has known Trump — and stood by Trump — for a while now. Early on she backed Jeb Bush, but after he left that race in 2016 she endorsed Trump quickly. She has never wavered and never supported, say, Ron DeSantis for president.

But to me the real point here is that Florida is now ground zero for Republicans in the U.S. The counter balance to California.

McGraw: Not Texas! That’s a conversation for another day, but it really feels like the real GOP center of gravity is in Florida not Texas these days.

Fineout: Well the president hasn’t been living in Texas.

What does the Florida takeover of the GOP — and soon Washington — mean? Is it just personnel or are we getting a different style of politics altogether?

Kimberly Leonard: It’s both. Wiles is a longtime Florida operative who has repeatedly recruited, coached and mentored people throughout their careers. So it makes sense that — as incoming chief of staff — she would continue turning to those longstanding relationships to build a team.

Culturally, Florida is very different from most of the U.S. It’s more out there, less risk averse. The news always seems replete with wild stories pouring out of our amazing state. Though Trump is obviously originally a creature of New York, he’s been snowbirding here a while, and in many ways he seems to fit the definition of the quintessential Florida Man.

Mia McCarthy: These Floridians are more likely to break the status quo when it comes to old school politics. And again, they’re loyal to Trump — I’d expect them to help the president carry out whatever priorities he has, even if it is against the political norm.

McGraw: I think Kimberly’s spot on — Susie Wiles’ influence is all over some of these picks. Wiles has gained a loyal following of operatives and politicians in Florida who have worked for her or worked with her.

It feels like this will be a bigger shift than Washington is prepared for, because Florida’s power is different in Congress, right?

McCarthy: Totally. What is somewhat ironic to me is that Florida has failed to hold onto power in Washington otherwise until this point. In Congress, they don’t have any major gavels or top leadership positions. That’s pretty weird for the second-largest Republican House delegation. (20 members!)

There have been unsuccessful attempts to rise in Congress — Rick Scott, a close ally of Trump, just ran to be Senate leader but was voted out in the first round the same day that Rep. Kat Cammack lost a bid for one of the top Republican positions in the House.

But also, a lot of Floridians have had their eyes elsewhere. Many Florida Republicans are hoping for a Trump admin job or Florida governor’s mansion, rather than working through the ranks of Congress.

Leonard: Trump has been president before, so they somewhat know what they’re in for, but this time he does seem to be — to borrow a phrase — “unburdened by what has been.”

Some of the folks he’s picking to fill his administration are going to be hard to confirm, and they’re far from the more traditional wing of the party. A couple even used to be Democrats.

We definitely saw with the Matt Gaetz pullout that the Senate at least is going to wield its power at times. There are also institutional systems and special interests in Washington that aren’t just going to stand by and let major overhauls happen to their areas, such as health care.

There’s one very important Floridian we’ve barely mentioned: Ron DeSantis. He ran against Trump and things got … chippy. Has he repaired that relationship?

Fineout: DeSantis ran against Trump and then quickly endorsed him after he got out of the race. And while he did raise money for the president, he did not really do any campaign events for him and instead he put his effort into defeating two amendments on the ballot in Florida.

There still appears to be a bit of distance between the two — and of course Wiles had a very public falling out with DeSantis, and there has been nothing to suggest it’s been patched up. It’s been interesting, however, to see Trump campaign and advocate for policies that are similar to ones that have already been tried in Florida. But for right now it appears DeSantis is going to remain a bit on the outside.

McGraw: I was interested to learn back in early September that Trump and DeSantis played golf together — oh to be a fly on that golf cart! The relationship between the two is not openly hostile as it once was, but I do think that whoever DeSantis picks to replace Rubio will send a message about how aligned he wants to be with Trump.

Leonard: Donors I talk to are split on what they think DeSantis needs to do moving forward. Some say they think he has enough cachet on his own to assert the DeSantis vision for Florida and for shaping the Republican Party, given that he did just defeat amendments on pot and abortion rights that otherwise tended to be broadly popular.

Others tell me they think he should play especially nice with Trump and try to extend an olive branch wherever possible. A clear opportunity to do so might be with appointing a Trump loyalist to Rubio’s soon-to-be-vacant Senate seat.

But does DeSantis really need to do that to guarantee his spot in the party? After all, he did rise to fame in the party when Trump was out of office. He does seem to have a pulse on the electorate, he’s still young and he still has two years left as governor to make a splash.

The Cabinet is mostly filled, but there’s still thousands of other positions across the administration. Any more names you hear might also be making the trip north?

McCarthy: Many see Florida as the GOP powerhouse Republicans want to take nationally. Can’t tell you how many Florida Republicans said “Make America Florida” to me in the past year. I think this is just the start.

Fineout: There are several others who I would keep an eye on, whether it’s long-time Wiles ally and sometimes DeSantis opponent state Sen. Joe Gruters — or heck even, say, Chris Kise, a former solicitor general in Florida who was part of Trump’s legal team.

I have also wondered about Carlos Muñiz. He’s currently on the Florida Supreme Court but he worked in the first Trump administration for Betsy DeVos.

Leonard: I’ve been likening our state to a staffing agency. It has a deep bench of Republicans who are eager to go to Washington to be a part of the MAGA movement. Readers can probably put together a great Bingo card on the list we assembled before.

Here’s what we’re watching in transition world today:

 🗓️ What we’re watching

Trump vowed Monday to impose tariffs of 25 percent on both Mexico and Canada on his first day in office as part of an effort to crack down on migration and the flow of fentanyl into the U.S. He did not specify how he would impose the measure, though he could theoretically tap the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
Trump is considering nominating Jim O’Neill, an associate of billionaire investor and early Trump backer Peter Thiel, as HHS deputy secretary.
Progressive Democrats are planning to deploy a new strategy against Trump during his second term: take Trump at his word on populist, working-class policy proposals — or at least pretend to.

🚨What’s up with the nominees?

Hedge fund executive Scott Bessent will be Trump’s primary conduit to Wall Street investors who are skeptical of the president-elect’s punishing trade agenda. Inevitably, his Treasury secretary will have to shoulder the conflicts and contradictions that arise from that agenda.

⏱️What Cabinet secretary announcements are we still waiting on?

None — Trump wrapped up his Cabinet picks over the weekend.

President-elect Donald Trump vowed Monday to impose tariffs of 25 percent on both Mexico and Canada on his first day in office as part of an effort to crack down on migration and the flow of fentanyl into the U.S.

“As everyone is aware, thousands of people are pouring through Mexico and Canada, bringing Crime and Drugs at levels never seen before,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders.”

The post did not specify how he would impose the measure, although he could theoretically tap the so-called International Emergency Economic Powers Act, which grants a president sweeping authority to control economic transactions after declaring an emergency. The move would immediately open up Trump’s tariffs to legal challenges.

Arturo Sarukhan, a former Mexican diplomat said the decision would violate the revised free trade pact between the United States, Canada and Mexico, known as the USMCA, and said the new tariffs would “put North American relations in a downward spiral” in a post on X. Trump himself signed the deal into law during his first administration.

Canadian officials in recent weeks have taken pains to present themselves as on the same page as the president-elect when it comes to Mexico’s supposed role as a conduit for China. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum played down concerns in public comments recounting her meeting with the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau last week.

In another post to his social media platform, Trump said China had failed to follow through on promises to institute the death penalty for traffickers of fentanyl: “Drugs are pouring into our Country, mostly through Mexico, at levels never seen before.”

“Until such time as they stop, we will be charging China an additional 10% Tariff, above any additional Tariffs,” he said.

That suggests those tariffs on China could be in addition to his universal baseline tariff of up to 20 percent, as well as his 60 percent tariff on Chinese imports.

A spokesperson for the Trump transition team did not immediately respond to a request for comment from POLITICO to clarify the total percentage of tariffs on China, Mexico and Canada.